104學年度第二學期專題討論統計學術演講公告

統計碩士學位學程將於104年3月22日(星期二)舉辦統計學術演講,邀請到清華大學統計所曾勝滄教授蒞臨演講,

講題:Joint Modeling of Laboratory and Field Data with Application to Warranty Prediction for Highly-Reliable Products

講員:曾勝滄 教授 清華大學統計所

時間:2016年3月22日星期二 下午 3:30 ~ 5:30

地點:臺灣大學博雅教學館408教室

摘要:

To achieve a successful warranty management, good prediction for product’s field return rate during the warranty period is essential. This study aims to make field return rate predictions under a particular scenario that multiple products have similar design and each product has discrete-type laboratory data together with continuous-type field data. We built a hierarchical model to link the failure information between lab and field data. Due to efficiently sharing the information among products in the inference, the proposed method generally provides a more stable lab summary for each individual product, especially for those cases with few or even no failures in lab testing stage. Furthermore, demonstrated in a real case study, the proposed method provides a better connection between laboratory reliability and field reliability, and further leads to a significant improvement on field return rate estimation.

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聯絡人:張仲凱

聯絡方式:E-mail:ntustat@ntu.edu.tw

TEL:(02) 3366-1481 FAX:(02) 3366-1482